Serie A badgeSerie A · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Palmeiras badgePalmeirasvsAtletico Paranaense badgeAtletico Paranaense

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.2%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+17.9 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +17.9%
Our model69.2%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 17.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Palmeiras badge

Palmeiras

Attack62
Defence89
Form80
Atletico Paranaense badge

Atletico Paranaense

Attack69
Defence58
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.9%Miss
Our model69.2%
The market51.3%
Edge
+17.9
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +15.3%Miss
Our model66.6%
The market51.3%
Edge
+15.3
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Palmeiras Win

Edge +9.7%Correct
Our model59.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Palmeiras (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.