CONMEBOL Libertadores badgeCONMEBOL Libertadores · 12 August 2026AI PICK

Palmeiras badgePalmeirasvsCerro Porteno badgeCerro Porteno

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.5%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+6.5 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +6.5%
Our model56.5%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 6.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Palmeiras badge

Palmeiras

Attack89
Defence67
Form62
Cerro Porteno badge

Cerro Porteno

Attack49
Defence68
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market92.6%
Edge
-19.9
Odds
1.08

Draw No Bet

Palmeiras (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Void
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.5%Close
Our model56.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+6.5
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +14.9%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market39.7%
Edge
+14.9
Odds
2.50

Match Winner

Palmeiras Win

Miss
Our model51.7%
The market78.1%
Edge
-26.4
Odds
1.28

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-1

9.6% · actual

2-0

8.9%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.