Serie A · 17 May 2026AI PICK
Palmeirasvs
Cruzeiro
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.5%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +2.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 2.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.7
- Odds
- 1.73
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +10.4
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Palmeiras (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Palmeiras Win
- Edge
- -11.1
- Odds
- 1.70
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.52
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
10.0%
1-1
9.8% · actual
0-1
9.4%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.