Copa Do Brasil badgeCopa Do Brasil · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Palmeiras badgePalmeirasvsFortaleza EC badgeFortaleza EC

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
53.7%
Edge
+0.1 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

LowEdge +0.1%
Our model53.8%
The market53.7%

The market underrated this by 0.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Palmeiras badge

Palmeiras

Attack62
Defence100
Form67
Fortaleza EC badge

Fortaleza EC

Attack38
Defence75
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market99.0%
Edge
-24.2
Odds
1.01

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market53.7%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Palmeiras (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +18.5%Miss
Our model53.1%
The market34.6%
Edge
+18.5
Odds
3.00

Match Winner

Palmeiras Win

Correct
Our model52.9%
The market85.5%
Edge
-32.6
Odds
1.17

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model10.0%
The market11.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

10.0%

1-1

11.3%

2-0

9.1%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.