World Cup badgeWorld Cup · 23 June 2026AI PICK

Panama badgePanamavsCroatia badgeCroatia

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.1%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+13.3 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +13.3%
Our model62.1%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 13.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Panama badge

Panama

Attack54
Defence66
Form53
Croatia badge

Croatia

Attack49
Defence36
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.3%Miss
Our model62.1%
The market48.8%
Edge
+13.3
Odds
2.05

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.6%Miss
Our model59.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+9.6
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Panama Win

Edge +39.3%Miss
Our model54.7%
The market15.4%
Edge
+39.3
Odds
6.50

Draw No Bet

Panama (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.3%
The market8.1%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.3%

1-1

9.1%

2-1

9.1%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.