World Cup · 27 June 2026AI PICK

PanamavsEngland

0 - 2

Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 57.1%
Market said: 45.5%
Edge: +11.6 pts
Best odds: 2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +11.6%

Our model57.1%

The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 11.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Panama

Attack48

Defence58

Form47

England

Attack54

Defence100

Form61

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct

Our model75.3%

The market92.6%

Edge: -17.3
Odds: 1.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.6%Miss

Our model57.1%

The market45.5%

Edge: +11.6
Odds: 2.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Our model54.3%

The market69.4%

Edge: -15.1
Odds: 1.44

Draw No Bet

Panama (DNB)

Our model48.4%

The market57.1%

Edge: -8.7
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Panama Win

Edge +5.3%

Our model11.2%

The market5.9%

Edge: +5.3
Odds: 17.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.2%Miss

Our model9.5%

The market8.3%

Edge: +1.2
Odds: 12.08

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

9.5%

0-1

9.1%

1-0

9.1%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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