UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 23 July 2026AI PICK

Panevėžys badgePanevėžysvsFK Tobol Kostanay badgeFK Tobol Kostanay

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
48.1%
Edge
+7.4 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

MediumEdge +7.4%
Our model55.5%
The market48.1%

The market underrated this by 7.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Panevėžys badge

Panevėžys

Attack41
Defence41
Form36
FK Tobol Kostanay badge

FK Tobol Kostanay

Attack43
Defence62
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Draw No Bet

Panevėžys (DNB)

Void
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.4%Close
Our model55.5%
The market48.1%
Edge
+7.4
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.2%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
2.00

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market57.8%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Panevėžys Win

Edge +21.8%Miss
Our model51.2%
The market29.4%
Edge
+21.8
Odds
3.40

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.6%
The market9.9%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.15

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.6%

1-1

13.8% · actual

0-0

8.3%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.