Division Intermedia badgeDivision Intermedia · 24 May 2026AI PICK

Paraguari AC badgeParaguari ACvsBenjamín Aceval badgeBenjamín Aceval

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 1 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.5%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+8.1 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +8.1%
Our model73.5%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 8.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Paraguari AC badge

Paraguari AC

Attack30
Defence59
Form33
Benjamín Aceval badge

Benjamín Aceval

Attack61
Defence100
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.1%Close
Our model73.5%
The market65.4%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model46.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
-7.6
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Benjamín Aceval (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Benjamín Aceval Win

Our model31.7%
The market43.5%
Edge
-11.8
Odds
2.30

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.3%Miss
Our model17.4%
The market15.1%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
6.62

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

17.4%

0-2

10.9%

1-0

10.7%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.