World Cup badgeWorld Cup · 4 July 2026AI PICK

Paraguay badgeParaguayvsFrance badgeFrance

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.8%
Market said
41.3%
Edge
+22.5 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +22.5%
Our model63.8%
The market41.3%

The market underrated this by 22.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Paraguay badge

Paraguay

Attack45
Defence86
Form60
France badge

France

Attack96
Defence84
Form88

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model75.1%
The market98.0%
Edge
-22.9
Odds
1.02

Draw No Bet

France (DNB)

Edge +16.8%Correct
Our model73.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
+16.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +22.5%Miss
Our model63.8%
The market41.3%
Edge
+22.5
Odds
2.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model58.2%
The market61.0%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

France Win

Correct
Our model57.1%
The market83.3%
Edge
-26.2
Odds
1.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.30

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-3

7.9%

1-1

6.8%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.