Parceiro Naganovs
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 - 2Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 50.5%
- Edge
- +3.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.98
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.98
The market underrated this by 3.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Parceiro Nagano
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -6.9
- Odds
- 1.42
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.3
- Odds
- 1.98
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -4.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Draw No Bet
Thespakusatsu Gunma (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 2.01
Match Winner
Thespakusatsu Gunma Win
- Edge
- -8.2
- Odds
- 2.50
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.14
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.5% · actual
1-1
11.9%
0-2
7.3%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.