Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 7 August 2026AI PICK

Paredes badgeParedesvsGuimaraes B badgeGuimaraes B

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+0.3 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Paredes Win

Match Winner · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +0.3%
Our model57.4%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 0.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.5%
The market80.0%
Edge
-6.5
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

Paredes (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Paredes Win

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.3%Correct
Our model55.7%
The market44.4%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model8.6%
The market9.9%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.6%

3-1

8.3% · actual

2-0

7.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.