Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Paredes badgeParedesvsLeça badgeLeça

1 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.8%
Market said
56.2%
Edge
+2.6 pts
Best odds
1.78

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Paredes Win

Match Winner · best price 1.78

MediumEdge +2.6%
Our model58.8%
The market56.2%

The market underrated this by 2.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Paredes badge

Paredes

Attack100
Defence35
Form80
Leça badge

Leça

Attack13
Defence28
Form17

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Draw No Bet

Paredes (DNB)

Edge +19.9%Miss
Our model90.3%
The market70.4%
Edge
+19.9
Odds
1.42

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +2.3%Miss
Our model90.0%
The market87.7%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.14

Match Winner

Paredes Win

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model58.8%
The market56.2%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.78

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model54.2%
The market58.8%
Edge
-4.6
Odds
1.70

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.6%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market46.1%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
2.17

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model18.9%
The market21.7%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
4.60

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

18.9%

3-0

16.4%

1-0

14.0%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.