Serie A badgeSerie A · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Parma badgeParmavsAS Roma badgeAS Roma

2 - 3

Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.0%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+6.0 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

AS Roma Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +6.0%
Our model56.0%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 6.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Parma badge

Parma

Attack30
Defence45
Form44
AS Roma badge

AS Roma

Attack78
Defence50
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Match Winner

AS Roma Win

Edge +6.0%
Our model56.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model50.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model49.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

AS Roma (DNB)

Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model14.3%
The market12.4%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
8.04

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.3%

0-2

12.1%

1-2

9.7%

We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.