Parmavs
Cagliari
0 - 1Correct
Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 59.4%
- Markets called
- 2 of 5 right
- Final score
- 0 - 1
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57
MediumEdge -1.7%
Our model59.4%
The market61.1%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
Miss
Our model67.5%
The market70.4%
- Edge
- -2.9
- Odds
- 1.42
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model59.4%
The market61.1%
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.57
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
Correct
Our model53.8%
The market54.1%
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Draw No Bet
Parma (DNB)
Miss
Our model51.1%
The market53.5%
- Edge
- -2.4
- Odds
- 1.87
Match Winner
Parma Win
Miss
Our model33.8%
The market40.8%
- Edge
- -7.0
- Odds
- 2.45
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
Miss
Our model11.7%
The market13.5%
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 7.42
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.7%
1-1
15.2%
0-0
14.0%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.