Parmavs
Pisa
1 - 0Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 78.3%
- Market said
- 61.7%
- Edge
- +16.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.62
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62
The market underrated this by 16.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Parma
Pisa
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +16.6
- Odds
- 1.62
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +7.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Draw No Bet
Parma (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Parma Win
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.