Serie D badgeSerie D · 21 June 2026AI PICK

Parnahyba badgeParnahybavsÁguia de Marabá badgeÁguia de Marabá

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.1%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+7.5 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +7.5%
Our model55.1%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 7.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Parnahyba badge

Parnahyba

Attack37
Defence42
Form36
Águia de Marabá badge

Águia de Marabá

Attack83
Defence44
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.5%Correct
Our model55.1%
The market47.6%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market54.6%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Águia de Marabá (DNB)

Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Águia de Marabá Win

Our model32.3%
The market40.0%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
2.50

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.0%
The market10.4%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.0%

0-2

9.9%

1-2

9.9%

We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.