Serie D badgeSerie D · 7 June 2026AI PICK

Parnahyba badgeParnahybavsMoto Club badgeMoto Club

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.4%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+10.5 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

High confidenceEdge +10.5%
Our model70.4%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 10.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Parnahyba badge

Parnahyba

Attack38
Defence38
Form29
Moto Club badge

Moto Club

Attack40
Defence43
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.5%Correct
Our model70.4%
The market59.9%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
1.67

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +5.6%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market54.6%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Parnahyba (DNB)

Correct
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Parnahyba Win

Edge +1.5%Correct
Our model47.0%
The market45.5%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.2%Correct
Our model17.0%
The market14.8%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.77

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

17.0% · actual

0-1

15.5%

0-0

12.9%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.