Segunda División · 29 August 2026AI PICK

PaysanduvsAtenas

2 - 0

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 53.8%
Market said: 44.4%
Edge: +9.4 pts
Best odds: 2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

LowEdge +9.4%

Our model53.8%

The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 9.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Paysandu

Attack54

Defence40

Form38

Atenas

Attack71

Defence63

Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct

Our model73.1%

The market78.1%

Edge: -5.0
Odds: 1.28

Draw No Bet

Atenas (DNB)

Edge +8.6%Miss

Our model57.6%

The market49.0%

Edge: +8.6
Odds: 2.04

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.4%Close

Our model53.8%

The market44.4%

Edge: +9.4
Odds: 2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss

Our model52.5%

The market52.6%

Edge: -0.1
Odds: 1.90

Match Winner

Atenas Win

Edge +3.8%Miss

Our model42.1%

The market38.3%

Edge: +3.8
Odds: 2.61

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss

Our model9.1%

The market10.5%

Edge: -1.4
Odds: 9.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

12.1%

2-1

7.5%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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