Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 13 July 2026AI PICK

Paysandu badgePaysanduvsFenix badgeFenix

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.9%
Market said
42.6%
Edge
+13.3 pts
Best odds
2.35

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35

MediumEdge +13.3%
Our model55.9%
The market42.6%

The market underrated this by 13.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Paysandu badge

Paysandu

Attack44
Defence40
Form24
Fenix badge

Fenix

Attack78
Defence52
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Draw No Bet

Fenix (DNB)

Edge +27.4%Miss
Our model84.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Miss
Our model74.2%
The market78.1%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.3%Miss
Our model55.9%
The market42.6%
Edge
+13.3
Odds
2.35

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Fenix Win

Miss
Our model41.6%
The market48.8%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
2.05

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.84

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.8%

1-1

12.3%

0-2

8.9%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.