Paysanduvs
Floresta
2 - 1Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.3%
- Market said
- 55.6%
- Edge
- +3.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectPaysandu Win
Match Winner · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Paysandu
Floresta
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Draw No Bet
Paysandu (DNB)
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Paysandu Win
- Edge
- +3.7
- Odds
- 1.80
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.9
- Odds
- 2.38
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 2.25
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.21
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
12.5%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.9% · actual
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.