Serie C badgeSerie C · 12 July 2026AI PICK

Paysandu badgePaysanduvsGuarani Campinas badgeGuarani Campinas

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.0%
Market said
48.1%
Edge
+13.9 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

MediumEdge +13.9%
Our model62.0%
The market48.1%

The market underrated this by 13.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Paysandu badge

Paysandu

Attack92
Defence43
Form62
Guarani Campinas badge

Guarani Campinas

Attack76
Defence66
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.2%
The market75.2%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market48.1%
Edge
+13.9
Odds
2.08

Draw No Bet

Paysandu (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model58.5%
The market54.6%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Paysandu Win

Correct
Our model41.8%
The market44.4%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
2.25

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.3%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.3%

1-1

8.2%

2-2

7.1%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.