PEC Zwollevs
Ajax
0 - 2Close
Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 56.5%
- Markets called
- 3 of 5 right, 1 close
- Final score
- 0 - 2
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.48
MediumEdge -10.0%
Our model56.5%
The market66.5%
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model72.7%
The market83.3%
- Edge
- -10.6
- Odds
- 1.20
Draw No Bet
Ajax (DNB)
Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Close
Our model56.5%
The market66.5%
- Edge
- -10.0
- Odds
- 1.48
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Miss
Our model54.6%
The market62.1%
- Edge
- -7.5
- Odds
- 1.57
Match Winner
Ajax Win
Correct
Our model51.7%
The market66.7%
- Edge
- -15.0
- Odds
- 1.50
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
Close
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.27
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.4%
1-1
10.1%
0-2
6.7% · actual
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.