Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Penafiel badgePenafielvsAcademica badgeAcademica

4 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Both Teams To Score: No
Model confidence
54.6%
Markets called
2 of 4 right
Final score
4 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.78

LowEdge -1.6%
Our model54.6%
The market56.2%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Penafiel badge

Penafiel

Attack45
Defence39
Form38
Academica badge

Academica

Attack54
Defence43
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model70.6%
The market78.7%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.27

Draw No Bet

Penafiel (DNB)

Correct
Our model60.2%
The market62.1%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
1.61

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model54.6%
The market56.2%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
1.78

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model54.6%
The market62.1%
Edge
-7.5
Odds
1.61

Match Winner

Penafiel Win

Correct
Our model44.5%
The market46.9%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
2.13

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model10.3%
The market11.9%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.3%

1-1

15.0%

0-0

11.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.