Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Penafiel badgePenafielvsFC Porto B badgeFC Porto B

3 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.1%
Market said
56.2%
Edge
+1.9 pts
Best odds
1.78

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.78

MediumEdge +1.9%
Our model58.1%
The market56.2%

The market underrated this by 1.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Penafiel badge

Penafiel

Attack44
Defence51
Form42
FC Porto B badge

FC Porto B

Attack62
Defence54
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model58.1%
The market56.2%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.78

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model50.5%
The market49.5%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
2.02

Draw No Bet

Penafiel (DNB)

Correct
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Penafiel Win

Correct
Our model44.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.