Penafielvs
FC Porto B
3 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.1%
- Market said
- 56.2%
- Edge
- +1.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.78
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.78
The market underrated this by 1.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Penafiel
FC Porto B
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.9
- Odds
- 1.78
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.0
- Odds
- 2.02
Draw No Bet
Penafiel (DNB)
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Penafiel Win
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.