Segunda Liga · 9 May 2026AI PICK
Penafielvs
Maritimo
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.4%
- Market said
- 54.6%
- Edge
- +5.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.83
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83
The market underrated this by 5.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Penafiel
Maritimo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.8
- Odds
- 1.83
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.1
- Odds
- 2.08
Draw No Bet
Penafiel (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Penafiel Win
- Edge
- -2.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.52
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
10.0%
1-1
9.8%
1-0
9.4% · actual
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.