Penafielvs
Portimonense
0 - 1Correct
Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 100.0%
- Market said
- 49.4%
- Edge
- +50.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.96
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.96
High confidenceEdge +50.6%
Our model100.0%
The market49.4%
The market underrated this by 50.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
3 of 3 right
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
Edge +50.6%Correct
Our model100.0%
The market49.4%
- Edge
- +50.6
- Odds
- 1.96
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
Edge +13.6%
Our model73.5%
The market59.9%
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Portimonense (DNB)
Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- +12.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Portimonense Win
Edge +13.1%Correct
Our model43.3%
The market30.2%
- Edge
- +13.1
- Odds
- 3.31
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.