Segunda Liga · 23 August 2026AI PICK
Penafielvs
Sporting CP B
2 - 0Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.0%
- Market said
- 57.7%
- Edge
- +2.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.62
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62
The market underrated this by 2.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Penafiel
Sporting CP B
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +0.1
- Odds
- 1.41
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.3
- Odds
- 1.62
Draw No Bet
Penafiel (DNB)
- Edge
- +5.5
- Odds
- 1.96
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
Penafiel Win
- Edge
- -3.3
- Odds
- 2.45
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 8.06
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
10.8%
2-0
2.4% · actual
2-1
1.9%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.