Penarolvs
Atletico Torque
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.2%
- Market said
- 52.3%
- Edge
- +5.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.83
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.83
The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Penarol
Atletico Torque
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 1.23
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 1.83
Draw No Bet
Penarol (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.5
- Odds
- 1.73
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.3
- Odds
- 1.66
Match Winner
Penarol Win
- Edge
- -2.9
- Odds
- 2.16
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.