Primera División · 30 August 2026AI PICK
Penarolvs
Club Nacional
0 - 1Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.0%
- Market said
- 53.5%
- Edge
- +0.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.87
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.87
The market underrated this by 0.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Penarol
Club Nacional
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +0.4
- Odds
- 1.28
Draw No Bet
Penarol (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.5
- Odds
- 1.72
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.5
- Odds
- 1.87
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.6
- Odds
- 2.21
Match Winner
Penarol Win
- Edge
- +7.5
- Odds
- 2.27
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.76
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
9.0%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.