Primera División - Apertura · 4 May 2026AI PICK
Penarolvs
Defensor Sporting
1 - 1Correct
Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 62.3%
- Markets called
- 2 of 3 right
- Final score
- 1 - 1
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57
MediumEdge -1.4%
Our model62.3%
The market63.7%
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Penarol
Attack52
Defence55
Form50
Defensor Sporting
Attack32
Defence88
Form47
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model62.3%
The market63.7%
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 1.57
Draw No Bet
Penarol (DNB)
Edge +2.9%Void
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Penarol Win
Miss
Our model47.7%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- -2.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model46.5%
The market45.5%
- Edge
- +1.0
- Odds
- 2.20
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.