Primera División - Apertura · 13 April 2026AI PICK
Penarolvs
Liverpool Montevideo
0 - 2Miss
Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 56.8%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +6.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
MissPenarol Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
MediumEdge +6.8%
Our model56.8%
The market50.0%
The market underrated this by 6.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Double chance : Penarol or draw
How the two sides compared
Penarol
Attack82
Defence73
Form80
Liverpool Montevideo
Attack55
Defence18
Form20
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 3 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
Edge +18.6%Miss
Our model90.0%
The market71.4%
- Edge
- +18.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Match Winner
Penarol Win
Edge +6.8%Miss
Our model56.8%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- +6.8
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Penarol (DNB)
Miss
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.