Primera División - Apertura · 16 May 2026AI PICK
Penarolvs
Liverpool Montevideo
2 - 1Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.1%
- Market said
- 52.4%
- Edge
- +4.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.91
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91
The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.7
- Odds
- 1.91
Draw No Bet
Penarol (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Penarol Win
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 1.95
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.37
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
12.3%
0-1
10.8%
1-1
10.6%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.