Primera División badgePrimera División · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Perez Zeledon badgePerez ZeledonvsLD Alajuelense badgeLD Alajuelense

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
51.6%
Edge
+6.6 pts
Best odds
1.86

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.86

MediumEdge +6.6%
Our model58.2%
The market51.6%

The market underrated this by 6.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Perez Zeledon badge

Perez Zeledon

Attack16
Defence44
Form27
LD Alajuelense badge

LD Alajuelense

Attack57
Defence68
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +2.0%Correct
Our model87.5%
The market85.5%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
1.17

Draw No Bet

LD Alajuelense (DNB)

Edge +11.0%Void
Our model80.0%
The market69.0%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
1.45

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.6%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market51.6%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
1.86

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model53.9%
The market48.9%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.98

Match Winner

LD Alajuelense Win

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model22.0%
The market25.3%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
3.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

22.0%

0-0

17.7%

0-2

16.2%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.