Serie C - Girone B · 23 August 2026AI PICK
Perugiavs
Ostia Mare
1 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 49.5%
- Edge
- +4.3 pts
- Best odds
- 2.02
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.02
The market underrated this by 4.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Perugia
Ostia Mare
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -16.6
- Odds
- 1.14
Draw No Bet
Perugia (DNB)
- Edge
- -9.8
- Odds
- 1.45
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.3
- Odds
- 2.02
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.97
Match Winner
Perugia Win
- Edge
- -17.4
- Odds
- 1.68
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.57
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.1%
1-1
13.7%
1-0
8.5% · actual
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.