Perugiavs
Vis Pesaro
1 - 2Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.3%
- Market said
- 46.5%
- Edge
- +13.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.15
The call, locked before kick-off
MissPerugia Win
Match Winner · best price 2.15
The market underrated this by 13.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Perugia
Vis Pesaro
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +10.4
- Odds
- 1.28
Draw No Bet
Perugia (DNB)
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Perugia Win
- Edge
- +13.8
- Odds
- 2.15
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -5.3
- Odds
- 1.57
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -7.8
- Odds
- 1.73
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -3.6
- Odds
- 3.65
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
23.8%
2-0
18.6%
0-0
17.5%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.