League One badgeLeague One · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Peterhead badgePeterheadvsMontrose badgeMontrose

0 - 3
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+3.0 pts
Best odds
1.71

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.71

MediumEdge +3.0%
Our model58.6%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 3.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Peterhead badge

Peterhead

Attack80
Defence63
Form67
Montrose badge

Montrose

Attack71
Defence49
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.8%
The market81.3%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
1.23

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model58.6%
The market55.6%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.71

Draw No Bet

Peterhead (DNB)

Miss
Our model57.0%
The market61.0%
Edge
-4.0
Odds
1.64

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.3%
The market59.5%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
1.59

Match Winner

Peterhead Win

Miss
Our model43.2%
The market49.0%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
2.04

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.5%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.28

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.5%

1-1

9.6%

1-2

7.2%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.