Premier League badgePremier League · 4 May 2026AI PICK

Pharco badgePharcovsEl Mokawloon badgeEl Mokawloon

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
80.9%
Market said
73.5%
Edge
+7.4 pts
Best odds
1.36

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.36

High confidenceEdge +7.4%
Our model80.9%
The market73.5%

The market underrated this by 7.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Pharco badge

Pharco

Attack27
Defence37
Form18
El Mokawloon badge

El Mokawloon

Attack47
Defence57
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +12.5%
Our model85.0%
The market72.5%
Edge
+12.5
Odds
1.38

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.4%Correct
Our model80.9%
The market73.5%
Edge
+7.4
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model66.0%
The market62.9%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.59

Draw No Bet

El Mokawloon (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

El Mokawloon Win

Our model31.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
-18.3
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.