USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 26 July 2026AI PICK

Phoenix Rising badgePhoenix RisingvsHartford Athletic badgeHartford Athletic

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.8%
Market said
50.3%
Edge
+8.5 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +8.5%
Our model58.8%
The market50.3%

The market underrated this by 8.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Phoenix Rising badge

Phoenix Rising

Attack43
Defence41
Form38
Hartford Athletic badge

Hartford Athletic

Attack33
Defence75
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.5%Correct
Our model58.8%
The market50.3%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Phoenix Rising (DNB)

Void
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +8.2%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market46.0%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Phoenix Rising Win

Miss
Our model42.8%
The market54.6%
Edge
-11.8
Odds
1.83

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model12.7%
The market14.6%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.7%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

12.8% · actual

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.