USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 11 June 2026AI PICK

Phoenix Rising badgePhoenix RisingvsLouisville City badgeLouisville City

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.6%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+10.0 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +10.0%
Our model65.6%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 10.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Phoenix Rising badge

Phoenix Rising

Attack50
Defence57
Form50
Louisville City badge

Louisville City

Attack68
Defence46
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.0%Close
Our model65.6%
The market55.6%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.7%Miss
Our model64.6%
The market59.9%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Phoenix Rising Win

Edge +20.9%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market33.3%
Edge
+20.9
Odds
3.00

Draw No Bet

Phoenix Rising (DNB)

Miss
Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model9.0%
The market7.9%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
12.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.0%

1-1

8.1%

0-1

7.8%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.