USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 21 June 2026AI PICK

Phoenix Rising badgePhoenix RisingvsOakland Roots badgeOakland Roots

3 - 4
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+8.0 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

LowEdge +8.0%
Our model54.5%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 8.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Phoenix Rising badge

Phoenix Rising

Attack37
Defence53
Form43
Oakland Roots badge

Oakland Roots

Attack52
Defence53
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.0%Miss
Our model54.5%
The market46.5%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
2.15

Draw No Bet

Phoenix Rising (DNB)

Miss
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Phoenix Rising Win

Miss
Our model44.5%
The market47.6%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model44.2%
The market44.4%
Edge
-0.2
Odds
2.25

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.8%
Our model13.4%
The market11.6%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.59

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.4%

1-0

10.9%

1-1

10.7%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.