USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 31 May 2026AI PICK

Phoenix Rising badgePhoenix RisingvsSacramento Republic badgeSacramento Republic

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.4%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+10.0 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +10.0%
Our model62.4%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 10.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Phoenix Rising badge

Phoenix Rising

Attack45
Defence66
Form45
Sacramento Republic badge

Sacramento Republic

Attack54
Defence97
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.0%Miss
Our model62.4%
The market52.4%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.2%Close
Our model59.7%
The market46.5%
Edge
+13.2
Odds
2.15

Match Winner

Phoenix Rising Win

Edge +17.8%Correct
Our model53.5%
The market35.7%
Edge
+17.8
Odds
2.80

Draw No Bet

Phoenix Rising (DNB)

Correct
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.2%Miss
Our model9.2%
The market8.0%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.51

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

9.2%

0-1

8.8%

1-2

8.6%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.