Regionalliga - Nord badgeRegionalliga - Nord · 22 April 2026AI PICK

Phönix Lübeck badgePhönix LübeckvsSt. Pauli II badgeSt. Pauli II

3 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.0%
Market said
43.5%
Edge
+13.5 pts
Best odds
2.30

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.30

MediumEdge +13.5%
Our model57.0%
The market43.5%

The market underrated this by 13.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Phönix Lübeck badge

Phönix Lübeck

Attack32
Defence70
Form44
St. Pauli II badge

St. Pauli II

Attack34
Defence46
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.5%Close
Our model57.0%
The market43.5%
Edge
+13.5
Odds
2.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model55.0%
The market66.7%
Edge
-11.7
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

Phönix Lübeck (DNB)

Correct
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Phönix Lübeck Win

Correct
Our model41.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-8.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.