Serie D badgeSerie D · 11 May 2026AI PICK

Piauí badgePiauívsFerroviario badgeFerroviario

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
61.5%
Markets called
2 of 4 right
Final score
1 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60

MediumEdge -1.0%
Our model61.5%
The market62.5%

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Piauí badge

Piauí

Attack50
Defence53
Form49
Ferroviario badge

Ferroviario

Attack50
Defence50
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +10.4%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market74.6%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
1.34

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model61.5%
The market62.5%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.60

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.3%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market51.5%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.94

Draw No Bet

Piauí (DNB)

Void
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Piauí Win

Miss
Our model49.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%
Our model14.0%
The market12.2%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.20

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.0%

0-1

13.0%

1-1

11.2% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.