Serie D · 23 May 2026AI PICK
Piauívs
Fluminense PI
0 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.7%
- Market said
- 51.3%
- Edge
- +4.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
MissPiauí Win
Match Winner · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 4.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Piauí
Fluminense PI
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Match Winner
Piauí Win
- Edge
- +4.4
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 1.83
Draw No Bet
Piauí (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 8.37
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
13.7%
0-1
11.9% · actual
1-1
11.0%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.