Pinetovs
Arezzo
1 - 4Miss
Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 59.7%
- Markets called
- 2 of 3 right
- Final score
- 1 - 4
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65
MediumEdge -0.9%
Our model59.7%
The market60.6%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Pineto
Attack41
Defence47
Form42
Arezzo
Attack59
Defence100
Form69
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
Miss
Our model59.7%
The market60.6%
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.65
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +9.0%Correct
Our model53.4%
The market44.4%
- Edge
- +9.0
- Odds
- 2.25
Draw No Bet
Pineto (DNB)
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Pineto Win
Our model40.8%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- -9.2
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.