Liga de Expansión MX · 23 August 2026AI PICK
Piratasvs
Cancún
0 - 1Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 52.4%
- Edge
- +6.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 6.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Piratas
Cancún
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -15.9
- Odds
- 1.10
Draw No Bet
Piratas (DNB)
- Edge
- -12.9
- Odds
- 1.32
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.0
- Odds
- 1.90
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.82
Match Winner
Piratas Win
- Edge
- -19.4
- Odds
- 1.62
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.2
- Odds
- 5.90
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
14.7%
0-0
16.7%
1-1
14.9%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.