Liga de Expansión MX · 2 August 2026AI PICK
Piratasvs
Monarcas
1 - 0Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 72.8%
- Market said
- 43.0%
- Edge
- +29.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.35
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35
The market underrated this by 29.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Piratas
Monarcas
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -0.4
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +29.8
- Odds
- 2.35
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +20.1
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Monarcas (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Monarcas Win
- Edge
- +12.5
- Odds
- 2.70
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.70
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.0%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
6.9%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.