Pirin Blagoevgradvs
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0 - 3Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.9%
- Market said
- 60.6%
- Edge
- +13.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.65
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65
The market underrated this by 13.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.14
Draw No Bet
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (DNB)
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 1.37
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +13.3
- Odds
- 1.65
Match Winner
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas Win
- Edge
- -5.6
- Odds
- 1.63
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -4.7
- Odds
- 1.77
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- -6.7
- Odds
- 1.90
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
45.9%
0-1
17.0%
1-0
17.0%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.