Serie A badgeSerie A · 1 May 2026AI PICK

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Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
83.4%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+18.0 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +18.0%
Our model83.4%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 18.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Pisa badge

Pisa

Attack30
Defence28
Form13
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Lecce

Attack25
Defence48
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.0%Close
Our model83.4%
The market65.4%
Edge
+18.0
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +10.0%Miss
Our model67.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Pisa (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Pisa Win

Miss
Our model44.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.9
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.