Serie D - Girone D badgeSerie D - Girone D · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Pistoiese badgePistoiesevsCittadella Vis Modena badgeCittadella Vis Modena

5 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.1%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+8.1 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Pistoiese Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +8.1%
Our model58.1%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 8.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Pistoiese badge

Pistoiese

Attack74
Defence100
Form74
Cittadella Vis Modena badge

Cittadella Vis Modena

Attack35
Defence100
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Pistoiese (DNB)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model64.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Pistoiese Win

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model58.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.3%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model49.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
-4.5
Odds
1.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.